According to his entourage, French President Emmanuel Macron may select a new prime minister as early as Monday in an effort to give his cabinet, which has drawn harsh criticism, a fresh start.
Prime Minister Elisabeth Borne’s position has been precarious since a Macron-backed immigration plan was defeated in parliament last month. After a great deal of controversy and pressure from the center-right opposition, it was ultimately passed.
Borne and Macron met on Sunday night. Macron is also dealing with an increasing threat from the far-right National Rally of Marine Le Pen.
According to his office, the conversation focused on the impending nationwide freeze and the flooding in northern France, but analysts speculated that they also probably talked about the much-expected government overhaul.
Francois Bayrou, a centrist leader whose early endorsement of Macron was key to his initial 2017 election success, told BFM television that “a change is necessary” in the government makeup.
Under the French system, the president sets general policies, but the prime minister is responsible for day-to-day government management, meaning they often pay the price when an administration runs into turbulence.
Rival claims
In 20 months as prime minister, the 62-year-old Borne — France’s second female head of government — has pushed through key reforms on pensions and immigration in some 30 new laws and has overcome previous doubts about her future.
But Macron has over the past week consulted with key figures including Bayrou, Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire, and former prime minister Edouard Philippe about reinvigorating the administration.
No final decisions appeared to have been taken before the meeting with Borne however.
A close Macron adviser said the president was “finalising his choices” and “things will move at the start of the week, probably with a new prime minister Monday.”
Macron is “in a hurry”, added a second advisor.
But another associate of the president commented: “Everything is possible, including doing nothing.” That would mean Borne could still keep her job.
If she is replaced, the two leading candidates are Sebastien Lecornu, the 37-year-old armed forces minister, and Julien Denormandie, the 43-year-old former agriculture minister who has been close to Macron for a decade.
Choosing between the two risks exacerbating tensions within Macron’s movement. Denormandie has been with Macron from the start of his presidential campaign. Lecornu later jumped ship from the centre-right The Republicans party.
Macron’s political party lacks a majority in parliament and is already riven by disagreements over the immigration law, which was greatly hardened as a condition for receiving necessary support from The Republicans.
‘Moving too quickly?
Some 200 French intellectuals, actors, and union leaders issued a call Sunday to protest against the law on January 21, saying it represented a “dangerous turn for the Republic.”
Denormandie almost founded a start-up with Macron in 2014 before becoming his deputy chief of staff when Macron was Economy Minister under President Francois Hollande. Denormandie has been working in the private sector since 2022.
Lecornu joined Macron in 2017, and would follow in the footsteps of two previous prime ministers — Philippe and Jean Castex — who also defected from The Republicans.
Lecornu has become a close adviser to Macron, who has used his experience in local and regional government. However, one close adviser warned that “we are maybe moving too quick to condemn” Borne.
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